I continue to predict that at some point prior to New YearвЂ™s Day, 2022, Biden and the various Democratic players, including leadership in both the House and Senate, the Progressives, and the recalcitrant Senators Joe Manchin (D-West Virginia) and Kyrsten Sinema (D-Arizona) will reach a compromise agreement. It also has resulted in a significant decline in enthusiasm among Democratic voters for their party, which will undoubtedly affect turnout.

The Biden situation has a major effect on their voting decision. Virginia has a large number of voters, particularly in Northern Virginia who are also federal employees. The situation is markedly different with regard to this yearвЂ™s Virginia gubernatorial race. The Biden quagmire will not affect Democratic turnout or MurphyвЂ™s margin at all. Phil Murphy is headed for a victory over GOP candidate Jack Ciattarelli approaching or perhaps exceeding double digits. With the exception of the 1973 New Jersey gubernatorial election, in which the Watergate scandal, particularly theВ Saturday NightВ Massacre, resulted in an overwhelming landslide for Democrat Brendan Byrne over Republican Charles Sandman, adverse developments for a president have rarely had even a marginal impact on New Jersey gubernatorial races. The domestic political impact of the Biden quagmire in Election 2021 is a bit more complex. At the Climate Conference, this will definitely affect his credibility in importuning foreign leaders to reduce emissions when he himself appears unable to deliver.

I am a Biden supporter, but at present, he looks like the student teacher who canвЂ™t keep and control the class. The problem for Joe Biden is one of image. This is especially true with regard to both 1) Democratic fortunes in the forthcoming Tuesday gubernatorial election in Virginia and 2) BidenвЂ™s ability to project world leadership at the United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP 26) scheduled to begin in Glasgow, ScotlandВ on Monday, November 1. The logjam within the Democratic Party involving President Joe Biden and the differing factions of Congressional Democrats regarding enactment of his brick-and-mortar and social infrastructure packages is already having a serious negative impact, domestic and foreign.

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